By: Javad Masoumi, a geopolitical researcher and analyst
Israel’s situation after three months of protests and social unrest and the lack of compromise between the leaders of this regime has had a wide regional and extra-regional reflection. So that many political experts believe that Israel is on the verge of collapse. This social and security crisis will become much more sensitive and widespread at the same time as Ramadan. Because in the current state of Israel’s security institutions, it has to focus on two completely different situations: the internal crisis and the axis of resistance on the other hand. In other words, this year’s Ramadan is much more special than previous years, and Israel’s internal security faces more fundamental problems every day.
So that with the flare-up of more internal and external crises, this gunpowder warehouse will explode sooner. The next stage is the Israeli crisis at the global and regional level, especially in West Asia and the Middle East. The question is, what will happen to the future of Israel’s temporary existence with increasing tension and social and security crises?
With the continuation of this process, despite the announcement of the American warning about revising the laws of the judicial system, the state of unrest indicates the beginning of a civil war in Israel, and according to this, the army has been put on alert. Benjamin Netanyahu, with changes in the judicial structure to territorialize his dictatorship, caused Israel to be in the darkest part of history. Also, following their decisions in the northern West Bank settlements in the Knesset, the United States, in an unprecedented move, summoned Michel Herzog, the ambassador of the Zionist regime in Washington, and expressed his concern about Tel Aviv’s actions and the security situation in the occupied territories. In this regard, an American official announced that the country’s relations with the Zionist regime have become completely critical after Netanyahu’s return. It seems that due to the large volume of domestic and foreign opposition, Benjamin Netanyahu’s cabinet will come to an end sooner than ever and Netanyahu may be removed from the political arena forever.
What is certain is that with the continuation of the process of the Israeli army, it will face a civil war. It seems that if there are no changes in the law reform policy, it will be a serious threat to the existence of Israel. This chaotic situation has even affected the morale and service motivation of the soldiers of the Israeli army, so that escaping from the army is considered a commendable thing. By examining different scenarios, it seems that Israeli decision makers are not able to adopt an effective strategy to get out of the crisis of internal and external threats. And due to Netanyahu’s disregard for various and numerous global warnings, it is almost impossible to change the policy of the current cabinet. As a result, it will be almost impossible to develop a new strategy to deal with Israel’s current crisis. The dismissal of the Minister of War shows the deep divide in the political layers of Tel Aviv and in the future, such differences in the cabinet will increase. The deposed Minister of War of Israel criticized the movements of Benjamin Netanyahu’s extremist cabinet and announced; Despite America’s support, Israel suffers from a weak international position and faces a great danger to the army and security forces. He has warned that the Israeli army is moving towards a dangerous abyss in the shadow of Netanyahu’s cabinet’s judicial reforms. It is worth considering that Netanyahu thought that by removing the Minister of War, he could make the cabinet more coherent; But the wave of street protests intensified.
Meanwhile, there is a concern for Israel, and that is the agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia, because many media describe this agreement as a slap in the face of Israel. The agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia means the destruction of Israel’s defense wall. This agreement is practically against Israel’s famous foreign policy; A policy based on the absence of a coherent Arab and Islamic axis in the Middle East region. By mediating, China made America’s influence in the region decrease. America, which is one of the pillars of Israel’s security. In other words, America’s lack of influence in the region is practically a threat to Israel, and if Israel publicly opposes the agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia, it may bring Israel into conflict with China. The agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia has come at the same time as severely political differences and Israel’s internal crisis. At the same time, it costs a lot for Israel. One of the signs of this is the message of Mohammed bin Zayed, the ruler of the UAE to Netanyahu, that Tel Aviv’s behavior endangers the possible progress in relations with the UAE and other Arab countries, and if Israel creates insecurity in the region, without a doubt, the temporary existence of Israel. will cause a serious challenge, and with the continuation of the wave of global opposition to the policies of the Tel Aviv cabinet, it shows that Netanyahu is left alone in the international arena. The regional system is drawing a new map with new alliances including Iran, China, Saudi Arabia and Russia.
This flow is an introduction to the absence of regional and extra-regional activists in West Asia. It is hoped that the international community will stop the provocative actions of the current Israeli cabinet, which prefers its personal and party interests over the entire Zionist community. Because these actions are a clear violation of human rights, especially the Palestinian community, and the West Bank will eventually be cleared of the invaders.
The current resistance operations in all West Bank cities indicate the important fact that the resistance in the Quds area is expanding, and we will witness resistance fighters confronting the occupiers, and the resistance operations will be a response to any killing or political killing by Israel and a deterrent. . In other words, the geography of resistance has expanded in the occupied areas. This has led to the consolidation and strengthening of the position of the Palestinian nation and the establishment of a greater relationship between the armed resistance and all the Palestinian people. This trend has led to the formation of a new path called the liberation of the West Bank. It seems that the occupation of the West Bank will end and with the resistance, this area will finally be cleared of the occupiers.
The final point is that the recent political developments in the region have placed an important responsibility on the resistance movements of the region so that they can create the best results for the Palestinians, and the only solution is armed resistance for the liberation of Quds Sharif and the return of the Palestinians to their homeland against the terrorist and extremist regime of Israel.
Dr. Javad Masoumi Iranian geopolitical researcher and analyst
